Not Saussure

September 12, 2006

Will Blair get his collar felt before the Party Conference?

Filed under: Blair, Blogroll, nemesis, UK — notsaussure @ 9:26 pm

Speculation still continues, and there isn’t long to go now. Guido Fawkes, esq drops coy hints and PoliticalBetting.com has a more lengthy analysis, along with a useful link to the latest odds:

With some union leaders planning to walk out on the Prime Minister when he makes his speech at the TUC today [they did, of course] September is continuing to be a nightmare month for Labour’s triple General Election winner. For not only has he been forced to harden up his leaving plans but still simmering in the background is the police investigation into the cash and loans for peerages tow.

Already it’s known that at least two ministers have been interviewed by the police and Blair’s Middle East envoy and party fundraiser, Lord Levy, had to
face the indignity of being arrested.

    Could the next step be the arrival of officers at No 10 itself and if so how would this affect the planned departure date? Could it even be the case, as some were betting on in July, that Tony could be arrested?

Given the pivotal role that the Prime Minister has in the honours it’s hard to see how the police can carry out their task without a conversation with him. The suggestion before the holidays was that this could take place before the Labour Party conference which starts in Manchester on Sunday September 24th. If so then including today there are only nine working days left between now and then.

For punters who have invested on the Blair departure date markets the police move could be crucial. There’s a tempting 4/1 still available on the Blair’s moving out during 2006 while on Betfair the Q4 2006 price has stayed pretty firm at 3.2/1 in spite of last week’s developments.

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