Not Saussure

November 6, 2006

Evidence-based epidemiology

Filed under: Medicine — notsaussure @ 6:59 pm

The BBC:

Lung cancer could be virtually wiped out in Scotland as a result of the smoking ban in public places, according to the chief medical officer.

Dr Harry Burns said lung cancer rates would be reduced to just a few hundred cases a year in the future.

That’s encouraging news.  How do we know this happy result is to take place?

Dr Burns said: “Imagining Scotland with no lung cancer is not trivial speculation.

“In the 1960s, one in 100 men died of lung cancer.

“Today, rates are falling all the time and thanks to the smoking ban, I expect the reduction in deaths to accelerate until dying from the disease becomes a rare occurrence.

“Anecdotal evidence shows that since the smoking ban, there has been a surge in the numbers of smokers seeking help to give up.”

Can’t argue with hard science like that.

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